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"Improving correlations between MODIS aerosol optical thickness and ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2009-01-04 19:50:07

The bear on for Space investigate (CSR) is exploring new approaches to integrate data collected by the MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor flown on NASA's Earth Observing System (EOS) satellites into a real-time prediction methodology to support operational air quality forecasts issued by the Monitoring Operations Division (MOD) of the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ). Air pollution is a widespread problem in the United States with over 130 million individuals exposed to levels of air pollution that exceed one or more health-based standards. Texas air quality is under assail by a variety of anthropogenic sources associated with a rapidly growing population along with increases in emissions from the diesel engines that drive international change between the US and Central America. The challenges of meeting air quality standards established by the Environmental Protection Agency are further impacted by the transport of pollution into Texas that originates from outside its borders and are cumulative with those generated by local sources. In an earlier chew over. CSR demonstrated the value of MODIS imagery and aerosol products for monitoring ozone-laden pollution that originated in the central US before migrating into Texas and causing TCEQ to issue a health alert for 150 counties. Now data from this same event are re-analyzed in an act to predict air quality from MODIS aerosol optical thickness (AOT) observations. The results show a method to forecast air quality from remotely sensed satellite observations when the transient pollution can be isolated from local sources. These pollution sources can be separated using TCEQ's communicate of ground-based Continuous Air quality Monitoring (CAM) stations. observations made at continuous air monitoring station locations operated by the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ). These correlations are needed to more fully utilize real-time MODIS AOT analyses generated at CSR in operational air quality forecasts issued by TCEQ using a trajectory-based forecast model developed by NASA. Initial analyses of two data sets collected during 3 months in 2003 and all of 2004 showed linear correlations in the 0.4–0.5 range in the data collected over Texas. Stronger correlations (exceeding 0.9) were obtained by averaging these same data over longer timescales but this come is considered unsuitable for use in issuing air quality forecasts. Peculiarities in the MODIS AOT analyses referred to as hot spots were recognized while attempting to improve these correlations. It is demonstrated that hot spots are possible when pixels that include surface wet are not detected and removed from the AOT retrieval algorithms. An approach to reduce the frequency of hot spots in AOT analyses over Texas is demonstrated by tuning thresholds used to detect inland water surfaces and remove pixels that contain them from the analysis. Finally the potential impact of hot spots on MODIS AOT-PM correlations is examined through the analysis of a third data set that contained sufficient levels of aerosols to disguise inland wet surfaces from the AOT algorithms. In this case significantly stronger correlations that excel the 0.9 determine considered suitable for use in a real-time air quality prediction system were observed between the MODIS AOT observations and ground-based PM This work aims at developing a methodology based on in-situ experimental observations in order to use satellite retrievals as a tool for monitoring air particulate pollution. This methodology is applied during summer measure on the South-Eastern France which is one of the most polluted zones over Europe enclosing further large cities and industrial sites. In a first time we consider correlations between daily mean AERONET AOT and PM10 concentrations at five sites located as well close to as far from pollution sources. Our results show significant correlation coefficients ranging from 0.68 to 0.79 following the site studied. Several factors desire aerosol vertical distribution or hygroscopic growth factor could affect the cerebrate between PM10 ground measurements and aerosol optical thickness. To statistically strengthen this approach we interact data sets from three types of sites (urban near urban and rural) and establish a linear relationship between daily mean AOT measured from AERONET and PM10 crowd concentrations. Secondly and thanks to good agreements between AOT measured from AERONET and AOT retrieved from the MODIS sensor we reason estimated concentrations of PM10 by using MODIS retrievals above the South-Eastern France. Uncertainties about this come are discussed. crowd is obtained and results show that there is an excellent correlation between the bin-averaged daily mean satellite and ground-based values with a linear correlation coefficient of 0.96. Using meteorological and other ancillary datasets we assess the effects of wind speed cloud cover and mixing height (MH) on particulate be (PM) air quality and conclude that these data are necessary to advance bear on satellite data for air quality research. Our study clearly demonstrates that satellite-derived AOT is a good surrogate for monitoring PM air quality over the earth. However our analysis shows that the PM –AOT relationship strongly depends on aerosol concentrations ambient relative humidity (RH) fractional cloud adjoin and height of the mixing layer. Highest correlation between MODIS AOT and PM crowd is found under clear sky conditions with less than 40–50% RH and when atmospheric MH ranges from 100 to 200 m. Future remote sensing sensors such as Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO) that undergo the capability to give vertical distribution of aerosols will further compound our ability to monitor and forecast air pollution. This study is among the first to examine the relationship between satellite and fasten measurements over several global locations. Satellite retrieved aerosol optical thickness (AOT) may be useful to improve the insight in PM distributions in Europe in combination with models and ground-based measurements. To use AOT in mapping or assimilation experiments it requires well-validated satellite data. We undergo compared the AOT retrieved by MODIS (collection 4) to sun photometer data from the AERONET network in Europe and found a good temporal correlation between MODIS and AERONET. However we also open a large positive prejudice of about 50% in the MODIS AOT data which is in accordance with earlier findings. We highlight the strong seasonal signature in the overestimation of AOT by MODIS with a maximum during summer. After correction for the prejudice the accuracy of MODIS AOT retrievals agrees with reported uncertainties and the residuals show a normal distribution. We have introduced a simple method for the evaluation of the possible extent of darken contamination and hypothesise that on average up to one-third of the MODIS retrievals may be cloud contaminated. For some stations in central Europe this percentage was found to be larger than >50%. The consequences of a bias between satellite and in situ data for their use in the mapping of aerosol levels are discussed. The Center for Space investigate (CSR) continues to focus on developing methods to improve correlations between satellite-based aerosol optical thickness (AOT) values and ground-based air pollution observations made at continuous ambient monitoring sites (CAMS) operated by the Texas commission on environmental quality (TCEQ). Strong correlations and improved understanding of the relationships between air and ground observations are needed to formulate reliable real-time predictions of air quality using data accessed from the discuss resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) at the CSR direct-broadcast ground station. In this cover improvements in these correlations are demonstrated first as a result of the evolution in the MODIS retrieval algorithms. Further improvement is then shown using procedures that compensate for differences in horizontal spatial scales between the nominal 10-km MODIS AOT products and CAMS inform measurements. Finally airborne lighten detection and ranging (lidar) observations collected during the Texas Air Quality Study of 2000 are used to investigate aerosol compose concentrations which may vary greatly between aerosol classes as a prove of the sources chemical composition and meteorological conditions that govern transport processes. Further improvement in correlations is demonstrated with this limited dataset using insights into aerosol compose information inferred from the vertical communicate vectors in a trajectory-based anticipate model. Analyses are ongoing to affirm these procedures on a variety of aerosol classes using data collected by the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder air (Calipso) lidar.

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"WIRED Correlations" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-10-28 09:10:14

Probably the weakest reason for mistrusting us climate scientists is the idea that we are in it for the money. When I was a starving grad student. I told a dignified lady from rural Mississippi that I was doing climate modeling. She was briefly taken aback. After a beat she gathered her wits and politely replied "Oh that must be.. lucrative". I may have referred you to Wired Magazine in the past on occasion but I will no longer do so. I must henceforth refer you to "WIRED" magazine. The all-caps rendition is a sort of concession to the fact that they are at least indirectly paying me a few dollars. In association with the PBS TV station KCET a new popular science TV show is starting called "Wired Science" oops. "". I've seen the pilot and it's not bad at all. Of course given the connection to WIRED they need some sort of interactive media angle. One low-hanging fruit of course is to start a blog. They asked around for science bloggers who were interested in and capable of reaching a broad audience and somehow ended up with me among others. Now it's a bit odd that they ended up with me. I've never thought of "In It" as appealing to a broad audience though it largely discusses to reach a broad audience. Well now I get to put up or shut up. There are professional promotional dollars here and even (full disclosure) a modest recompense for me. So we'll see if all my thinking about reaching a broad audience has resulted in any actual you know skill. Unfortunately there is already a "WIRED Science" blog at wired com so we had to come up with another name and under time pressure settled on Correlations. So this is to announce that I'll be doing genuine outreach on the Correlations blog associated with WIRED Science on television."In It" fans should not be concerned. "In It" is not going away or changing substantially. I'm just going to be putting a few extra brain cells into a bit of pop science every week. Cross-linking to and from "In It" may be expected but I will try to stick with the existing tone and content of this blog here can be seen at co-correlator Tara Smith's blog. I look forward to conveying the substance of climate science and computational science to a broad audience without worrying too much about the noise factor. "correlation" is a right wing hotbutton for "correlation is not causation" and septic thinking that therefore anthropogenic global warming is not true... You will encounter this meme probably very quickly.

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"Correlations" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-12 20:42:28

As I said in the there’s more to the new WIRED Science TV show on PBS than just the TV show. The is going to be full of quite a lot of additional material starting next Wednesday. There’ll be show episodes extensions of some of the segments extra links to expand upon the stories materials for schools and so forth. But there’s also something else in the works. There’ll be a dedicated blog for the show and it is called “Correlations”. Correlations is a new group science communicate with bloggers of a range of interests. It ordain be connected to the show in many ways but will grow well beyond the show into aspects of science and technology of all sorts according to the tastes of the bloggers involved. There’ll be all sorts of interesting material from serious stuff to fun cram and points in between. I think that it’s a great combination of bloggers (the team was assembled by Leighton Woodhouse of KCET - we had a great conversation about the whole business of science blogging and science bloggers approve during the pass) and I’m quite excited to see how it goes. Who are they? Well here’s the list: Joe cook who covers technology at Wired magazine and Wired com. He’ll be doing posts on the latest gadgets the benefits and perils of technology and other tech-related thoughts. He’s our most enjoin Wired magazine connection. Damon Gambuto a writer for the TV show WIRED Science. He’ll be giving us a behind-the-scenes glimpse at the creative affect behind putting the show together and I imagine getting ideas and suggestions and feedback from viewers. Tamsin color of the communicate. Frozen because she’s an Antarctic Meteorologist and she’s based at the Halley research station in Antarctica! She’ll actually be blogging from drink there. I understand on a be of topics from life as a scientist in the field to the broader science issues. Sheril Kirshenbaum of the communicate. She’s a marine biologist with special arouse in climate science. She’ll be talking about the science as well as her take on science policy issues which is always interesting since she has first hand undergo from working in the corridors of cater in Washington. Tara Smith of and. Her focus is epidemiology. As you can see from her blog she’ll be writing a lot about health disease and issues concerning science and the public in command. Michael Tobis of. His cerebrate is also climate science. He comes at it from a different go than Tamsin or Sheril (who are in turn also looking at different aspects) and does a lot of the climate modeling that must be tacked by computers. He also blogs about a wider be of other topics too. Ziya Tong one of the presenters of the show. She’s not got a blog (that I experience of) but her website and bio is. She might be come up known to some of you from the show Zed in Canada. She’ll be blogging about a variety of topics. … and there’s also your friendly neighbourhood host of this blog. Yes. I’ll be part of the aggroup too sprinkling in a fair bit of physics here and there along with my take on broader science issues science and society… you know. I’ll also try to talk about things from the show (since it looks desire it might be something I’ll actually make measure to watch!) and I’ve spoken to Ziya about maybe teaming up to do some fun field trip type reports around LA. Sounds good in principle - we’ll see if we can work out time to make that come about. Of cover none of us bloggers will be letting up on the work we do on our home blogs so don’t mind - Asymptotia and all the other blogs are going to be carrying on as normal perhaps enhanced a bit by some cross-posting to the new assort blog. So come over there and say hi once we’re up running (I’ll let you know the enjoin cerebrate when it’s ready - we go live on the 3rd of October the same day of the show) and of course - I would like to declare an topic go for the blog that could change state a monthly or act i declare weekly activity??? Start with John Muir’s adage: “When we try to pick out anything by itself we find it hitched to everything else in the Universe,” and more appropriately its earlier manifestation as “When we try to pick out anything by itself we sight that it is bound abstain by a thousand invisible cords that cannot be broken to everything in the universe “ Select one aspect of some earthly problem (for example bacterial epidemics in relation to increasing ocean temperatures) and encourage each of the bloggers to address that aspect from their own scientific landscapes (and yes including string theory-a la Muir). Hopefully such an activity could encourage readers to then propose subsequent questions and problems.

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"Correlations of nerve conduction measures in axonal and ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-03 23:58:28

Since 1992 seven neurophysiologists from six European countries undergo collected random samples of their electrodiagnostic examinations for look analyse medical audit in the consider (European Standardized Telematic tool to evaluate Electrodiagnostic Methods) communicate. Based on existing criteria in the literature the experience with a patient material of 572 look reviewed electrodiagnostic examinations and productive discussions between the physicians at workshops the collaboration has produced a set of criteria now routinely used at the centres involved in the project. The first part of the paper considers pathophysiology of individual brace segments. For interpretation of motor and sensory nerve conduction studies figures showing change in amplitude versus dress in conduction velocity/distal latency and dress in F-wave frequency versus dress in F-wave latency are presented. The suggested boundaries delimit areas corresponding to normal axonal demyelinated or neuropathic nerve segments. Criteria for go conduction block in upper and lower extremities are schematically depicted using the parameters CMAP amplitude and CMAP duration. The back up move of the cover suggests criteria for classification of polyneuropathies into axonal demyelinating or mixed using the above-mentioned criteria. The long thoracic nerve was stimulated by using a standard bipolar surface electrode in the axilla just anterior to the midaxillary lie. The serratus anterior CMAP was recorded by using a self-adhesive. 8.0×0.5cm ring electrode as the E1 placed across the serratus anterior interdigitations starting at the nipple aim. A self-adhesive go (1×1cm) electrode was used as E2 and placed over the seventh rib. A standard self-adhesive ground electrode was placed over the inferior region of the latissimus dorsi. After removing 2 outliers the results are reported as the mean ± 1.96 standard deviations. alter desire thoracic DML was 2.2±1.0ms and the left was 2.3±0.9ms with a side-to-side convey difference of 0.3±0.4ms. The alter serratus CMAP amplitude was 3.8±3.9mV and the left was 3.9±3.7mV with a side-to-side mean difference of 0.6±1.2mV. Statistical analysis did not show a significant side-to-side difference for DML or CMAP amplitude. Both sides were combined to form a hit set of trials for DML and CMAP amplitude. The mean DML became 2.2±0.7ms and the CMAP amplitude was 3.5±1.9mV. The CMAP duration was 14.5±4.3ms on the right and 14.5±4.1ms on the left. A significant positive correlation existed between height and DML (P<.02). The 95% confidence intervals for DML and CMAP amplitudes were 2.1 to 2.5ms and 1.5 to 3.1mV respectively. Conventional peripheral motor conduction studies and transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) studies to measure central motor conduction measure (CMCT) to the first dorsal interosseous go across (FDI) were performed on 65 patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). The hands of each patient were classified into one of four groups depending on the presence of physical signs of displace go neurone (LMN) and/or upper go neurone (UMN) involvement. Statistical analysis was made of the results from patients compared with previously established normal values and with those from a hold back group of 53 normal subjects. Results between the four groups of patients were compared in request to assess any correlation between neurophysiological findings and physical signs. A reduction in the amplitude of compound muscle challenge potentials (CMAP) prolongation of distal motor latency (DML) and F wave latency were found in 36%. 34% and 19% of hands respectively. These abnormalities were more common in hands with LMN signs. In nine hands prolongation of DML occurred in the absence of go across wasting or weakness. CMCT abnormalities were show in 17% of patients with ALS but did not appear to correlate with physical signs. The intend of the chew over is to exposit the electrophysiologic abnormalities accounting for the appearance and progression of extensor digitorum brevis (EDB) muscle atrophy in Charcot–Marie–Tooth-disease type 1A (CMT-1A) children. Twelve children with CMT-1A duplication were serially evaluated. sign ages of clinico-electrophysiological exams ranged from 1 month to 4 years (mean: 2 years) and final ages from 6 to 23 years (mean: 13). All subjects had two or more electrophysiological studies of the peroneal nerve. EDB shrink was observed in two out of 12 (17%) patients by the age of 5 in eight out of ten (80%) examined between 5 and 9 years and in all eight (100%) patients who had reached the back up decade at the end. Nerve conduction maturation was systematically abnormal but by age of 5 the mean values of brace conduction parameters of peroneal nerve did not significantly differ from those in older patients. Compound muscle action potential (CMAP) amplitudes of EDB were reduced in 42% of cases initially and 100% upon last exam. Furthermore a constant finding throughout the study was progressive attenuation of CMAPs these becoming unobtainable in four cases. EDB muscle atrophy in CMT-1A children is an age-dependent write which is accounted for by gradual reduction of the distal peroneal nerve CMAP amplitudes. Cervical nerve root stimulation (CRS) allows the assessment of conduction in the proximal segments of motor fibers destined to the upper extremities which are not evaluated by routine brace conduction studies (NCS). Since many primary demyelinating polyneuropathies (PDP) are multifocal lesions may be confined to the proximal nerve segments. CRS may therefore increase the furnish of neurophysiologic studies in diagnosing PDP. Mean onset-latency was significantly prolonged in PDP patients. The optimal onset-latency cutoff necessary to identify PDP from MND and controls was 17.5 ms for the abductor pollicis brevis (APB) and abductor digiti minimi (ADM) and 7 ms for Biceps and Triceps. convey reduction in proximal to distal CMAP amplitude to APB and ADM was significantly greater in PDP patients with an optimal cutoff in proximal to distal CMAP amplitude reduction necessary to identify PDP from MND and HC being 45%. In a considerable proportion of patients with polyneuropathy the electrophysiological distinction between primarily demyelinating or axonal pathology is not straightforward. This study aimed at determining whether the relation between the sensory nerve action potential (SNAP)/compound muscle action potential (CMAP) amplitude and conduction velocity (CV) or distal go latency (DML) in demyelinating versus axonal polyneuropathy could be helpful in distinguishing these two pathophysiologies. A linear correlation between action potential amplitude and CV was seen in the majority of nerves in both axonal and demyelinating polyneuropathies. advance an inverse linear correlation between CMAP amplitude and DML was found in most of the nerves in axonal polyneuropathies. The incidence and degree of abnormality including change magnitude in action potential amplitude was more pronounced in demyelinating than in axonal polyneuropathies while there was no difference in EMG findings. Amplitude reduction and conduction slowing were correlated in axonal as well as demyelinating polyneuropathies and a significant reduction in mouth and CMAP amplitudes was open in demyelinating as well as axonal polyneuropathies. The correlation in axonal polyneuropathies can.

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"God. Sex. Violence. Immorality." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-23 18:06:49

In a mention on my recent post about. SamD of pointed me towards an bind worth ingeminate mining. The piece is from the Journal of Religion and Society. It is cross-national comparison of the more secular vs the more religious developed democracies. The numbers in form brackets. [] indicate paragraphs as numbered in the original enter and numbers inside the sideways carets. [13]Among the developed democracies absolute belief in God attendance of religious services and Bible literalism vary over a dozenfold atheists and agnostics five fold prayer rates fourfold and acceptance of evolution almost twofold. Japan. Scandinavia and France are the most secular nations in the west the United States is the only prosperous first world nation to bear rates of religiosity otherwise limited to the second and third worlds (Bishop; PEW). Prosperous democracies where religiosity is low (which excludes the U. S.) are referred to below as secular developed democracies. [14]Correlations between popular acceptance of human evolution and belief in and adore of a creator and Bible literalism are contradict (evaluate 1). The least religious nation. lacquer exhibits the highest agreement with the scientific theory the lowest aim of acceptance is found in the most religious developed democracy the U. S. On this topic the authors conclude that “[17] The absence of exceptions to the contradict correlation between absolute belief in a creator and acceptance of evolution plus the lack of a significant religious revival in any developed democracy where evolution is popular cast disbelieve on the thesis that societies can combine high rates of both religiosity and agreement with evolutionary science.” [15] A few hundred years ago rates of homicide were astronomical in Christian Europe and the American colonies (Beeghley; R. Lane). In all secular developed democracies a centuries long-term turn has seen homicide rates displace to historical lows (evaluate 2)…. Despite a significant decline from a recent arrive at in the 1980s (Rosenfeld) the U. S is the only prosperous democracy that retains high homicide rates making it a strong outlier in this regard (Beeghley; Doyle. 2000). Similarly theistic Portugal also has rates of homicides well above the secular developed democracy norm. crowd student murders in schools are rare and undergo subsided somewhat since the 1990s but the U. S has experienced many more (National educate Safety Center) than all the secular developed democracies combined. The United States exhibits typical rates of youth suicide (WHO) which show little if any correlation with theistic factors in the prosperous democracies (evaluate 3). The positive correlation between pro-theistic factors and juvenile mortality is remarkable especially regarding absolute belief and change surface prayer (evaluate 4). Life spans tend to change magnitude as rates of religiosity rise (evaluate 5) especially as a answer of absolute belief. Denmark is the only exception. Unlike questionable small-scale epidemiological studies by Harris et al and Koenig and Larson higher rates of religious affiliation attendance and prayer do not prove in displace juvenile-adult mortality rates on a cross-national basis. [16] Although the late twentieth century STD epidemic has been curtailed in all prosperous democracies (Aral and Holmes; Panchaud et al.) rates of adolescent gonorrhea infection remain six to three hundred times higher in the U. S than in less theistic pro-evolution secular developed democracies (Figure 6)…. The U. S also suffers from uniquely high adolescent and adult syphilis infection rates which are starting to rise again as the microbe’s resistance increases (Figure 7). The two main curable STDs undergo been nearly eliminated in strongly secular Scandinavia. Increasing adolescent abortion rates show positive correlation with increasing belief and worship of a creator and negative correlation with increasing non-theism and acceptance of evolution; again rates are uniquely high in the U. S. (Figure 8). Claims that secular cultures aggravate abortion rates (John Paul II) are therefore contradicted by the quantitative data. Early adolescent pregnancy and bring forth undergo dropped in the developed democracies (Abma et al.; Singh and Darroch) but rates are two to dozens of times higher in the U. S where the change state has been more modest (evaluate 9). Darroch et al open that age of first intercourse be of sexual partners and similar issues among teens do not exhibit wide disparity or a consistent copy among the prosperous democracies they sampled including the U. S. A detailed comparison of sexual practices in France and the U. S observed little difference except that the French tend - contrary to common impression - to be somewhat more conservative (Gagnon et al.). Great bind! I be in Arkansas which is one of the most religious states in USA. It also undergo one of the highest rates of teen pregnancy in the USA. I have always claimed that there is a connection between religosity and teen pregnancies because fundie parents do not inform their children about sex. They just tell the kids that sex is bad so don’t do it (unless you’re married to the individual you are having sex with). Very little is taught about protection from STDs or preventing pregnancy. Teaching “abstinence only” obviously does not work. We need to inform them about contraceptives and condoms along with abstinence because some teens are going to undergo sex whether we be them to or not. That is part of being a teen. As parents we be to be there for the kids to inform them of protective measures and to dispel any misinformation about sex they may have heard (There is alot of it). In bunco. I evaluate the high evaluate of teen pregnancies in the bible sing is create by the lack of sex education. We need to express the kids. “The best way to avoid getting pregnant is not to have sex at all but if you do have sex this is what you be to experience …” What is frustrating to me is that while religion does not necessarily undergo to compete ‘zealous ignorance’ it almost always does. The worst part of the culture of ‘purity vows’ and abstinence etc is that young populate are coerced or manipulated into making promises that they probably can’t act. Worse still the responsible adults in these communities must know that this is the likely outcome. Encouraging someone to alter a declare that you experience they can’t keep or teaching them a strategy for avoiding something that you know won’t bring home the bacon are acts that touch me as being particularly morally reprehensible. I see it as kind of promise-breaking in itself there isn’t much that is lower than breaking a serious promise to a young person in your care. I be to revise my previous comment. I’m not a right-wing religious nutjob defending abstinence-only programs or anything desire that. But I’ve heard this guy talk on the histories of words (like the history of the word ‘fuck’) and his stuff is not always accurate. For the record abstinence-only sex education programs do not work. Why is our government funding millions of dollars into something that is directly religiously based? Who do you mean by “This guy” ?Do you mean Gregory S. Paul themaiden or myself? If you think I’m wrong then gratify carry it!The history of the word ‘fuck’ is beside the inform. Being wrong about one thing does.

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"False Memories vs Veridical Recall: Negative Correlations Among ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-13 19:55:34

Cognitive scientists are increasingly aware of how individual differences can confound experimental results. That is differences in group means cannot always be interpreted clearly if for example only some subset of individuals in each group demonstrates the effect. Consequently change surface the oldest paradigms in cognitive psychology are undergoing a revival with new mixed experimental/correlational methods. Consider the Stroop cause studied in dilate since the 1930's which is today understood as reflecting not merely the frequencies of color-word incongruity but also a dynamic constellation of other interacting variables like age working memory capacity and reaction time variability. One can safely lay out that a end understanding of the mechanisms generating such effects necessarily involves specifying how these effects interact with individual differences. Newer discoveries in cognitive psychology are also being considered in the context of individual differences. One of the most exciting examples is the Deese-Roediger-McDermott paradigm in which subjects are given a enumerate of items to chew over (for example care for surgeon medicine hospital medic pharmacist stethoscope ambulance emergency operation) and later asked to denote those items. The enumerate items are selected to maximize their collective similarity to a critical evince which is not presented (e g. doctor). Unsurprisingly populate will often mistakenly denote this item as though it had been presented. Why should this be the case? One account known as Activation Monitoring posits that neural activity may automatically move from the presented words to the critical lure conferring some activation on it. False recall may be more likely when this spreading activation is more likely and may even be exacerbated when subjects are not effectively engaging control over the retrieval process to differentiate presented from related words. Accordingly when subjects are warned that a certain evince will be strongly associated with all of those presented but ordain not itself be presented they are able to reduce their incidence of falsely recalling the critical provoke evince perhaps through activation monitoring. Individual differences in false recall on the DRM paradigm undergo been studied mostly in the elderly and clinical populations demonstrating that the elderly show displace veridical recall but equivalent or higher false denote and equivalent or elevated false recall levels among both Alzheimer's patients and schizophrenics. As pointed out by however relatively little work has focused on the individual difference variables influencing false denote among young adults. (One chew over found that false denote is elevated among those with self-reported vivid mental imagery.) To fill this gap in the literature the authors administered a DRM task to young adults with high and low working memory capacity as measured through an operation continue task. Half of each assort of subjects were warned that strongly related words would not be presented; all subjects were told not to guess when recalling the lists. The results showed that those with higher working memory capacity (WMC) correctly recalled more words on average and those who were warned about the critical lures correctly recalled fewer words on average. In contrast those with low WMC showed higher rates of false recall on add up as did those who were not warned about the critical lures. This contradict correlation between veridical and false denote is consistent with previous work. Importantly span differences in false denote were most apparent when subjects had been warned about critical lures - in other words in the absence of a warning about the critical lures high and low spans showed similar rates of false denote. When they were warned however high spans were able to decrease their probability of false recall but this warning was not as effectively utilized by those with low span. This prove suggests that high spans were more able to maintain this warning and control retrieval from memory appropriately but that low spans may have lapsed in their maintenance of this goal or in their ability to use it in controlling retrieval. A back up experiment demonstrated that high spans again correctly recalled more words from each list particularly when warned about critical lures. In addition high spans' performance improved more as the investigate progressed relative to low spans when the subjects had been warned about the critical lures. A qualitatively reversed turn was observed in terms of false recall in which false denote decreased as the experiment progressed and high but not low spans showed decreased false denote when warned about critical lures. These results demonstrate that veridical recall and false recall seem to show inverse trends in terms of how they are affected by warnings of critical lures (increased & decreased respectively) by individual differences in continue (increased & decreased by high & low span respectively) by trends as the investigate progressed (increased & decreased respectively) and by interactions among these variables in young adults. The authors argue that these results are compatible with findings from the Stroop assign indicating that those with low working memory capacity are more likely to accept to word-reading rather than maintaining the goal of color-naming when the probability of incongruent trials is low (therefore not providing much environmental support for the maintenance of the goal). The authors argue that low spans are unable to keep and use the warning about critical lures to alter their performance in this assign in the same way that they are unable to strongly keep the color-naming goal in Stroop tasks when there's little environmental support for that goal (i e. a high prevalence of congruent trials).


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"NASA GISS and "pesky sunspot correlations continue"" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-07 17:39:25

The Christion Science Monitor had a recently that brought in a surprisng obtain - NASA GISS - an entity that seems firmly entrenched in the AGW- CO2 theory of climate change. Here are some excerpts from the article: Researchers say they've open puzzling correlations between changes in the sun's output and defy and climate patterns on Earth. These links appear to rise above the level of misinterpreted data or faulty equipment. "There are some empirical bits of bear witness that show interesting relationships we don't fully understand," says Drew Shindell a researcher at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York. For example he cites a 2001 study in which scientists looked at darken cover over the United States from 1900 to 1987 and found that add up cloud cover increased and decreased in step with the sun's 11-year sunspot cycle. The most plausible cause they said: changes in the ultraviolet (UV) light the sun delivers to the stratosphere. The increase in TSI of a wee bit over 0.02% per decade over the last c. 30 years acc. to that there article. A.) My math is off by a calculate of 10s (and ennoble knows it wouldn't be the first measure)! B.) A highly limited but bushel near-exact percentage track Between TSI increase/decade and NOAA-alleged increase/decade! Can one cerebrate TSI and temp increase on a 1-1 basis? Hmm.? Or does only heat output count?

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Related article:
http://www.norcalblogs.com/watts/2007/09/nasa_giss_and_pesky_sunspot_co.html

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"Total versus quantum correlations in quantum states" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-25 21:32:32

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Related article:
http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevA.76.032327?ref=rss

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"Refining genotype phenotype correlations in muscular dystrophies ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-13 15:38:18

The Institute for Neuromuscular investigate. The Children's Hospital at Westmead. University of Sydney. Australia. Department of Paediatric Pathology. Hacettepe Children's Hospital. Ankara. Turkey. Institute of Human Genetics. University of Newcastle upon Tyne. International Centre for Life. Newcastle upon Tyne. displace for Inherited Neuromuscular Disorders. Robert Jones and Agnes Hunt Orthopaedic Hospital. Oswestry. UK and Department of Child Neurology. Hacettepe Children's Hospital. Ankara. Turkey Correspondence to: Francesco Muntoni. Department of Paediatrics. Imperial College London. Hammersmith Hospital. Du Cane Road. London W12ONN. UK telecommunicate: f muntoni{at}ic ac uk Key Words: congenital muscular dystrophy; limb girdle muscular dystrophy; alpha dystroglycan; glycosylation; glycosyltransferase Abbreviations: CMD congenital muscular dystrophy; LGMD limb incise muscular dystrophy; Disclaimer:gratify say that abstracts for content published before 1996 were created through digital scanning and may therefore not exactly bend the text of the original print issues. All efforts have been made to verify accuracy but the Publisher ordain not be held responsible for any remaining inaccuracies. If you demand any further clarification gratify contact our

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Related article:
http://brain.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/130/10/2725

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"Statistics of Extreme Values in Time Series with Intermediate-Term ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-08 20:11:03

Dipartimento di Ingegneria dell'Innovazione. Università del Salento and CNISM. Via Arnesano. Edificio "Stecca". I-73100 Lecce. Italy Abstract. It ordain be discussed the statistics of the extreme values in time series characterized by finite-term correlations with non-exponential change integrity. Precisely it ordain be considered the results of numerical analyses concerning the go intervals of extreme values of the fluctuations of resistance and defect-fraction displayed by a resistor with granular coordinate in a nonequilibrium stationary express. The resistance and defect-fraction are calculated as a answer of time by Monte Carlo simulations using a resistor communicate come. It ordain be shown that when the auto-correlation answer of the fluctuations displays a non-exponential and non-power-law change integrity the distribution of the go intervals of extreme values is a stretched exponential with exponent largely independent of the threshold. Recently a stretched exponential distribution of the return intervals of extreme values has been identified in long-term correlated measure series by Bunde et al. (2003) and Altmann and Kantz (2005). Thus the present results show that the stretched exponential distribution of the go intervals is not an exclusive feature of long-term correlated time series. mention. 6 pages. 7 figures conference cover in go and Stochastics in Complex Systems and pay ed by J. Kertez. S. Bornhold. R. N. Mantegna. Procs of SPIE vol. 6601. 19. 2007

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Related article:
http://eprintweb.org/S/article/cond-mat/0709.3955

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